Executive Briefings

Airbus Lowers Its Estimate of Number of Freighters Needed Over Next 20 Years

Airbus has drastically drawn down the number of dedicated freighters it anticipates being in service 20 years hence, according to its recently released "Global Market Forecast, 2016-2035." The disparity is remarkable, both in terms of number of aircraft and the shift in the market that it signals over the next two decades.

While last year’s global forecast for 2015 to 2034 anticipated an increase in dedicated freighters from 1,633 in 2014 to 2,687 in 2034 - a 65 percent rise - this year's projections are curtailed by 21.5 percent, compared to the previous report. This time around, the European aviation giant predicted an increase from 1,560 dedicated freighters to only 2,110 – a 35 percent increase over the twenty-year period. Total new freighter deliveries for of 645 units over the next two decades reflect this shift, down 159 freighters from last year’s predictions.

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While last year’s global forecast for 2015 to 2034 anticipated an increase in dedicated freighters from 1,633 in 2014 to 2,687 in 2034 - a 65 percent rise - this year's projections are curtailed by 21.5 percent, compared to the previous report. This time around, the European aviation giant predicted an increase from 1,560 dedicated freighters to only 2,110 – a 35 percent increase over the twenty-year period. Total new freighter deliveries for of 645 units over the next two decades reflect this shift, down 159 freighters from last year’s predictions.

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