Executive Briefings

Confidence Deteriorates in Health of Peak Shipping Season, Survey Suggests

The Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index declined for the sixth consecutive month, according to the latest survey undertaken by Transport Intelligence. The index for both the current and expected situation combined registered 47.3 for the month, down from 47.6 in September.

Whilst the index for sea freight continued to fall, the index for airfreight increased for the first time since April. In terms of the current logistics situation, airfreight forwarders continued to indicate weaker volumes relative to the time of year; however, at 40.2 ,the index was up from 38.8 the previous month. In contrast, results for sea freight fell further in October, with the index down to 40.6 from 42.3 in September.

In terms of prospects for the next six months, forwarders remain hopeful; although the index for air and sea combined fell slightly to 54.3 in October from 54.7 the previous month. Lucy Palmer, Economist at Transport Intelligence and compiler of the Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index said, "The launch of new electronic products at the end of September appears to have had some positive impact on airfreight demand, although volumes are still down significantly relative to the time of year. As global economic conditions remain challenging, any late development of a peak shipping season looks increasingly less likely."

In this month's survey participants were asked whether shipping lines are losing or gaining market share from freight forwarders. The majority of respondents (46 percent) believe that this share is not changing. Of the remainder, 28 percent believe shipping lines are losing market share, while 26 percent indicated a gain in market share.

The Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index is generated from an extensive survey of global logistics professionals, asked to provide their views on current levels of volumes in the industry and their expectations for six months' time. An index value of 50 indicates no change in the volumes currently being experienced for the time of year; above 50 indicates higher volumes, while below 50 indicates lower volumes.

The full results of the Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index can be downloaded free, click here.

Source: Transport Intelligence

Whilst the index for sea freight continued to fall, the index for airfreight increased for the first time since April. In terms of the current logistics situation, airfreight forwarders continued to indicate weaker volumes relative to the time of year; however, at 40.2 ,the index was up from 38.8 the previous month. In contrast, results for sea freight fell further in October, with the index down to 40.6 from 42.3 in September.

In terms of prospects for the next six months, forwarders remain hopeful; although the index for air and sea combined fell slightly to 54.3 in October from 54.7 the previous month. Lucy Palmer, Economist at Transport Intelligence and compiler of the Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index said, "The launch of new electronic products at the end of September appears to have had some positive impact on airfreight demand, although volumes are still down significantly relative to the time of year. As global economic conditions remain challenging, any late development of a peak shipping season looks increasingly less likely."

In this month's survey participants were asked whether shipping lines are losing or gaining market share from freight forwarders. The majority of respondents (46 percent) believe that this share is not changing. Of the remainder, 28 percent believe shipping lines are losing market share, while 26 percent indicated a gain in market share.

The Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index is generated from an extensive survey of global logistics professionals, asked to provide their views on current levels of volumes in the industry and their expectations for six months' time. An index value of 50 indicates no change in the volumes currently being experienced for the time of year; above 50 indicates higher volumes, while below 50 indicates lower volumes.

The full results of the Stifel Nicolaus Logistics Confidence Index can be downloaded free, click here.

Source: Transport Intelligence