Executive Briefings

Global Trade Flow Index Reveals Slowdown in Worldwide Trade Growth

Growth in trade has lost pace worldwide, according to Capgemini Consulting, the global strategy and consulting brand of the Capgemini Group. It announced figures from the third edition of its Global Trade Flow Index, which tracks trade by quarter, based on the latest available official data from national agencies of the 23 top countries in the global trade arena:

Figures revealed growth of 5 percent in worldwide trade in Q1 2010, slower than over the previous quarter (8.5 percent), as fear of a sovereign debt crisis affected European economies and the volcanic eruption in Iceland caused considerable trade disruption.

The largest rise in trade volumes was in Brazil, Russia, India and China where export volumes rose by as much as 15 percent as compared to the previous quarter (Q4 2009) as governments' liberalization initiatives and industrial capacity improved.

Trade growth remained strongest in Asia and Latin America in Q1 2010 (combined total trade growth of 12.80 percent compared to Q4 2009), but slightly decreased in the euro area (-0.23 percent compared to Q4 2009) due to high unemployment and substantial fiscal deficits. The trade in European economies in the first quarter of 2010 was negatively affected by the fall in the value of the euro and the rising uncertainty surrounding the Greek bailout. Trade volumes in the U.S. increased by 4.6 percent in Q1 2010 and the trade deficit widened as the value of crude imports hit the highest level in the last 18 months, with barrel prices at an average of almost $79/barrel.

A full copy of the report can be downloaded from: http://www.capgemini.com/insights-and-resources/by-publication/global-trade-flow-index-q1-2010

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Growth in trade has lost pace worldwide, according to Capgemini Consulting, the global strategy and consulting brand of the Capgemini Group. It announced figures from the third edition of its Global Trade Flow Index, which tracks trade by quarter, based on the latest available official data from national agencies of the 23 top countries in the global trade arena:

Figures revealed growth of 5 percent in worldwide trade in Q1 2010, slower than over the previous quarter (8.5 percent), as fear of a sovereign debt crisis affected European economies and the volcanic eruption in Iceland caused considerable trade disruption.

The largest rise in trade volumes was in Brazil, Russia, India and China where export volumes rose by as much as 15 percent as compared to the previous quarter (Q4 2009) as governments' liberalization initiatives and industrial capacity improved.

Trade growth remained strongest in Asia and Latin America in Q1 2010 (combined total trade growth of 12.80 percent compared to Q4 2009), but slightly decreased in the euro area (-0.23 percent compared to Q4 2009) due to high unemployment and substantial fiscal deficits. The trade in European economies in the first quarter of 2010 was negatively affected by the fall in the value of the euro and the rising uncertainty surrounding the Greek bailout. Trade volumes in the U.S. increased by 4.6 percent in Q1 2010 and the trade deficit widened as the value of crude imports hit the highest level in the last 18 months, with barrel prices at an average of almost $79/barrel.

A full copy of the report can be downloaded from: http://www.capgemini.com/insights-and-resources/by-publication/global-trade-flow-index-q1-2010

Read Full Article