Diesel traders are diverting cargoes of the fuel away from the European Union with just days to go until the bloc bans almost all imports from top supplier Russia.

Four vessels hauling about 2.9 million barrels of diesel-type fuel updated their destinations to New York in January, having previously signaled ports in northwest Europe, according to information from Vortexa Ltd. and separate tanker-tracking data compiled by Bloomberg.

The movements suggest that, despite the impending collapse in Russian cargo deliveries to the EU, the U.S. may have an even more acute supply situation. Freezing weather halted more than a third of Texas Gulf Coast oil-refining capacity late last year and a key fuel pipeline to New York Harbor was also recently closed.

A fifth, the Zoilo, also recently loaded at least some diesel in the Dutch port of Amsterdam and, as of January 18, is signaling Florida.

Overall supplies of diesel-type fuel in northwest Europe have been supported by rising stockpiles in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp oil trading hub — but these inventories are still below the seasonal norm.
Russian diesel arrivals to the region — known as ARA for short — hit an eight-month high in December while total diesel arrivals into ARA from anywhere reached the highest levels in December since June 2019, according to Vortexa figures.

“Europe was well supplied for diesel in December unlike the U.S. Atlantic Coast,” said Pamela Munger, a senior market analyst at Vortexa.

European Union sanctions mean the bloc will soon lose almost all seaborne deliveries of diesel from Russia, which even in January is on course to be the single biggest external supplier.

Other tankers hauling oil products are bypassing Europe altogether and sailing straight for the U.S.

The Captain Paris and STI Osceola both loaded in the Middle East and are now sailing across the Atlantic, signaling arrival in the U.S. later in January.