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Home » Forecasting & Demand Planning » U.S. Factory Output Nearly Stalls as Sector Struggles for Traction

U.S. Factory Output Nearly Stalls as Sector Struggles for Traction

A PERSON IN A RED SHIRT AND PROTECTIVE GLASSES CAN BE SEEN USING BOTH ARMS TO HOLD IN PLACE THE COVER OF THE BACK RIGHT WHEEL OF A WHITE CAR ON AN ASSEMBLY LINE.
Smyrna, Tennessee. May 2021. Photo: Bloomberg
June 16, 2023
Bloomberg

U.S. factory production remained sluggish during May 2023, suggesting manufacturers are growing cautious in the face of tepid global demands and equipment spending.

Manufacturing output advanced 0.1% from April 2023 but was still 0.3% lower than May 2022, Federal Reserve data showed June 15. Total industrial production, which includes mining and utilities, fell 0.2% from April 2023.

MetricActualMedian Estimate
Manufacturing production (MoM)
+0.1%-0.1%
Industrial production (MoM)-0.2%+0.1%


The details painted a mixed picture. Factory production increased for motor vehicles, aerospace equipment and appliances. The output of consumer goods, including clothing and home electronics and business equipment, edged lower.

“The manufacturing sector is broadly flattish at best,” said Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander U.S. Capital Markets LLC.

The nation’s producers face a number of challenges including softer demands for merchandise as households direct more of their income toward services and experiences. Stricter lending standards and higher rates risk forcing some companies to tighten their belts on capital investment while overseas customers are contending with muted economic growth.

Read more: U.S. Slips in Supply Chain Ranks After Child-Labor Violations

That said, cooler demand for manufactured products, improving supply networks and easing commodity prices have all helped mollify input costs for producers.

Separate June 15 data showed sustained consumer spending on merchandise in May 2023 with retail sales rising 0.3% in a broad-based advance.

Despite the uptick in factory production, recent survey data suggests the sector is struggling to gain traction. The latest Institute for Supply Management report showed manufacturing activity shrank for a seventh month during May 2023.

The Fed’s report showed capacity utilization at factories, a measure of potential output being used, held at 78.4%. Overall utilization eased to 79.6%.

Utility output dropped 1.8% for a second month. Mining fell 0.4%, reflecting a decline in oil and gas well drilling.

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