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Home » Blogs » Think Tank » What a New Administration Means for M&A, Global Trade and Supply Chains

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What a New Administration Means for M&A, Global Trade and Supply Chains

A large wall-sized map of the world, with the American flag highlighted the United States, and the Chinese flag printed across China.

Photo: iStock / hamzaturkkol

February 3, 2025
Mark Williams, SCB Contributor

A new U.S. administration signals a potential significant shift in American economic policy. With an agenda likely focused on deregulation, lower taxes and prioritizing domestic manufacturing, the business landscape could see both opportunities and challenges, including a changed mergers and acquisitions landscape and supply chain strategies.

M&A: A Surge in Deal Activity. A pro-business regulatory approach under the new administration could accelerate M&A. Dealmakers often thrive in stable and predictable environments, and reduced red tape and corporate-friendly tax policies could give businesses more confidence to pursue deals. This optimism is already reflected in the post-election uptick on Datasite, where global deal activity surged 22% year-over-year in the two weeks following the U.S. election.

Key sectors such as healthcare and technology, media, and telecommunications are positioned for growth, with both likely to benefit from policies encouraging innovation and private-sector investment. Industrial M&A is also expected to rise, as businesses seize opportunities to localize production and invest in automation.

Additionally, deals paused earlier this year due to market uncertainty are returning. Private equity firms are particularly active, with PE logins on Datasite jumping 22% in the week after the election, to reach the highest levels of 2024. This renewed activity reflected a push to close deals before year-end, while also launching new transactions to capitalize on favorable conditions.

Shorter transaction timelines could further support deal flow. Lengthy deal cycles, which were common in 2024, may revert to the more typical six-to-nine-month range as regulatory hurdles ease. This would create an efficient dealmaking environment, allowing businesses to act faster on opportunities.

Global Trade: Strategic Realignments. The new administration’s approach to global trade is likely to reignite debates over tariffs, trade agreements and reshoring. The administration’s history of renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement, now the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, suggests that businesses should prepare for potential disruptions in supply chains and market access.

At the same time, new tariffs or revised trade agreements could create opportunities. Businesses might find U.S.-based assets more attractive, as global organizations aim to avoid tariff increases by establishing operations within the country. This dynamic could spur cross-border M&A as international firms look to strengthen their foothold in the U.S. 

Such a shift could also drive diversification. Companies reliant on imports from regions affected by tariffs could seek alternative suppliers or invest in near-shoring strategies. This trend is already gaining momentum, as businesses respond to geopolitical tensions and rising labor costs overseas.

Supply Chains: Near-shoring Gains Ground. The ongoing push for supply chain localization, which manufacturers have been reevaluating for years, may also accelerate under the new administration. By bringing production closer to end markets, companies can reduce reliance on distant suppliers and lower the risk of geopolitical disruptions. Near-shoring also allows businesses to take advantage of potential tax incentives or subsidies aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing.

The move to localize supply chains could spark M&A in the industrial and logistics sectors. Companies seeking to expand their production capabilities may look to acquire assets that align with their goals. Strategic acquisitions of technology-driven manufacturers or specialized suppliers could enhance competitiveness in this new landscape.

In such a changing environment, technology is critical. M&A processes are complex, but advanced tools, including artificial intelligence, can make them more efficient. AI-powered platforms in virtual data rooms (VDRs), for example, automate tasks like file organization and due diligence, saving time and reducing errors.

These tools are invaluable as companies race to close deals and adapt to shifting trade and supply chain dynamics. By streamlining operations and improving accuracy, technology can help businesses stay agile and ready for the next opportunity.

Beyond M&A, technology also plays a vital role in supply chain management. Predictive analytics, for example, can optimize inventory levels and forecast demand, helping businesses respond to changes in trade policies or consumer behavior.

The next four years will test the adaptability of businesses. The new administration’s pro-business stance may create favorable conditions for growth, but navigating the complexities of global trade, M&A and supply chains will require careful planning.

Businesses that embrace proactive strategies, and deploy technology to mitigate risks and enhance efficiency, will be best-positioned to thrive. 

Mark Williams is Americas chief revenue officer at Datasite.

Global Supply Chain Management Global Trade & Economics Regulation & Compliance Sourcing/Procurement/SRM Supply Chain Security & Risk Mgmt

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