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Home » Blogs » Think Tank » What This Year’s Back-to-School Season Taught Retailers

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What This Year’s Back-to-School Season Taught Retailers

A WOMAN BENDS DOWN TO HUG A CHILD WEARING A BACKPACK

Photo: iStock/Jacob Wackerhausen

September 22, 2025
Tav Tepfer, SCB Contributor

Today’s back-to-school shopping season cuts across product lines, sales channels and regions, stretching operations and planning to the limit. What was once a predictable cycle now shifts year to year, and sometimes week to week. 

School start dates vary by district, weather can change what’s needed, and shoppers today are more selective about where, when and how they buy. Add fads and ongoing supply chain issues to the mix, and it’s clear that the old playbook no longer works. 

Retailers need strategies that can bend without breaking — ones that adapt quickly, align teams and keep customers in focus. Artificial intelligence insights help retailers anticipate trends and identify opportunities, while human expertise shapes strategy and execution.

Following are five key takeaways from how top retailers planned for back-to-school, and set themselves up for success all year.

Replace rigid forecasting with rolling adjustments. Back-to-school planning used to happen months ahead with a series of simple steps: forecast demand, ship inventory, set promos and hit go. Once the season begins, there’s little room to change course.

That’s why many retailers now use rolling planning cycles. Instead of locking in assumptions early, they monitor performance in real time and adjust based on what’s actually happening region by region, channel by channel. What was a relatively straightforward process now becomes more complex. AI tools make managing this possible, surfacing shifts in demand and flagging where plans need to adjust. This approach leads to fewer stockouts, less excess inventory and a plan that stays relevant as the season unfolds.

Break down silos to improve coordination. No single team is responsible for the back-to-school season. Planning, merchandising, fulfillment, pricing and store ops all have a crucial role, and when they’re not aligned, gaps appear fast.

To close those gaps, retailers are connecting their systems and decisions. When forecasts shift, the changes now ripple across pricing, inventory and promotions automatically. Everyone operates from the same data and can respond faster when the landscape changes. When teams move in sync, staying on course becomes far more achievable.

Plan for disruptions before they happen. During back-to-school season, the unexpected becomes routine. A shipment runs late, a local trend takes off or a promotion beats expectations. AI can help model scenarios and flag risks, but real power comes from teams defining clear responses in advance. Questions like “What if demand spikes in one region?” or “What if a product goes viral?” already have answers. This preparation keeps teams nimble, focused and calm under pressure.

Use technology to accelerate, not replace, human judgment. Retailers are increasingly using AI-powered tools to connect data across stores, e-commerce, inventory and supply chains. These systems detect patterns, run simulations and handle tasks like replenishment or markdowns automatically. But even with the best tech, human experience still plays an important role. Planners and analysts bring business context and strategic guardrails that algorithms alone can’t offer. The strongest outcomes come from blending automation with expertise, giving teams speed while preserving strategic goals.

Let inventory decisions follow customer signals. Back-to-school behavior looks different across regions and channels. What’s popular in one area might sit unsold in another. Online shoppers don’t always act like in-store customers, and the retailers that pay attention to these signals adjust accordingly. They use recent trends to guide local allocation and plan replenishment around current demand, not just last year’s data. The goal is to make it easy for customers to find what they need, when and where they need it, without overstocking or missing out on sales.

While back-to-school season may be complex, it doesn’t have to be chaotic. Retailers that build flexible plans, strengthen cross-team coordination and prepare for shifts in advance are better equipped to handle change. By combining smart technology with AI-driven insights, and staying focused on what customers actually need, they build strategies that adapt quickly and perform under pressure. That turns uncertainty into a manageable process, helping teams stay aligned and ready for whatever comes next.

Tav Tepfer is chief revenue officer at invent.ai.

Artificial Intelligence Forecasting & Demand Planning Inventory Planning/ Optimization Supply Chain Planning & Optimization Apparel Consumer Packaged Goods Retail

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