• Advertise
  • Contact Us
  • Supplier Directory
  • SCB YouTube
  • About Us
  • Login
  • Subscribe
  • Logout
  • My Profile
  • LOGISTICS
    • Air Cargo
    • All Logistics
    • Facility Location Planning
    • Freight Forwarding/Customs Brokerage
    • Global Gateways
    • Global Logistics
    • Last Mile Delivery
    • Logistics Outsourcing
    • LTL/Truckload Services
    • Ocean Transportation
    • Parcel & Express
    • Rail & Intermodal
    • Reverse Logistics
    • Service Parts Management
    • Transportation & Distribution
  • TECHNOLOGY
    • All Technology
    • Artificial Intelligence
    • Cloud & On-Demand Systems
    • Data Management (Big Data/IoT/Blockchain)
    • ERP & Enterprise Systems
    • Forecasting & Demand Planning
    • Global Trade Management
    • Inventory Planning/ Optimization
    • Product Lifecycle Management
    • Robotics
    • Sales & Operations Planning
    • SC Finance & Revenue Management
    • SC Planning & Optimization
    • Supply Chain Visibility
    • Transportation Management
  • GENERAL SCM
    • Business Strategy Alignment
    • Customer Relationship Management
    • Education & Professional Development
    • Global Supply Chain Management
    • Global Trade & Economics
    • Green Energy
    • HR & Labor Management
    • Quality & Metrics
    • Regulation & Compliance
    • Sourcing/Procurement/SRM
    • SC Security & Risk Mgmt
    • Supply Chains in Crisis
    • Sustainability & Corporate Social Responsibility
  • WAREHOUSING
    • All Warehouse Services
    • Conveyors & Sortation
    • Lift Trucks & AGVs
    • Order Management & Fulfillment
    • Packaging
    • RFID, Barcode, Mobility & Voice
    • Warehouse Automation
    • Warehouse Management Systems
  • INDUSTRIES
    • Aerospace & Defense
    • Apparel
    • Automotive
    • Chemicals & Energy
    • Consumer Packaged Goods
    • E-Commerce/Omni-Channel
    • Food & Beverage
    • Healthcare
    • High-Tech/Electronics
    • Industrial Manufacturing
    • Pharmaceutical/Biotech
    • Retail
  • THINK TANK
  • WEBINARS
    • On-Demand Webinars
    • Upcoming Webinars
    • Webinar Library
  • PODCASTS
  • WHITEPAPERS
  • VIDEOS
Home » Blogs » Think Tank » Understanding and Overcoming Uncertainty in U.S.-China Trade

Think Tank
Think Tank RSS FeedRSS

Understanding and Overcoming Uncertainty in U.S.-China Trade

SHIPPING CONTAINERS BEARING THE FLAGS OF THE US AND CHINA SWING AND CLASH IN MIDAIR

Image: iStock/wildpixel

October 24, 2025
Daniel Pickard & Natan Tubman, SCB Contributors

The U.S.-China trade relationship reached its lowest point in decades earlier in 2025.

Following several rounds of escalating retaliatory tariffs, the U.S. imposed a 145% levy on imports from China, which responded in kind. And while the two countries have dialed back certain restrictive measures since summer highs, there remains a great deal of uncertainty in their relations.

For its part, the U.S. government is attempting to safeguard national security and reduce risks in supply chains, while reinvigorating domestic production. On the export side, the Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has imposed export controls on critical and emerging technologies that have both civilian and military applications, such as the most advanced semiconductors. China, in turn, has responded by imposing export controls on certain critical minerals, and banning the use of those same semiconductors, thereby blocking out American companies from its market.

Export control restrictions and retaliation are just one part of the trade terrain. Under the Trump Administration, tariffs have played a central role in U.S. government efforts to enhance the competitiveness of domestic production capacity across a broad range of industry sectors. The President has cited multiple statutes as authority for imposing the tariffs, including section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, sections 201 and 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, and the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). 

Many U.S. manufacturers have petitioned the Department of Commerce’s International Trade Administration and International Trade Commission to investigate dumped or subsidized imports that are injuring or threatening to injure domestic industries. These cases, where successful, have resulted in the imposition of antidumping duty or countervailing duty orders that apply to imports from investigated countries.

Although the U.S. government has discretion to self-initiate these investigations, the vast majority of cases are brought by domestic producers, manufacturers, growers, industry associations or unions. Once imposed, the duties will remain in place for at least five years, and often much longer. Anti-evasion provisions under the Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015 offer continued relief against imports that are transshipped or otherwise attempt to circumvent the antidumping or countervailing duty orders.

Since March, 2025, BIS has initiated 12 investigations under section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, examining the threat to national security posed by imports of a broad range of products, including critical minerals, copper, lumber, semiconductors and manufacturing equipment, pharmaceuticals and ingredients, medical devices and equipment, industrial machinery, trucks, commercial aircrafts and jet engines, unmanned aircraft systems and parts, polysilicon and its derivatives, wind turbines. These investigations result in the Commerce Department issuing recommendations to the President on how to address related threats to national security. Based on prior practice, the investigations have resulted in recommendations for imposition of global tariffs ranging between 25% and 50% for covered products, such as steel, aluminum and automotive parts.

In addition, BIS this year implemented a new methodology that enables domestic producers to request the inclusion of additional products to be covered by the national security tariffs. As with antidumping and countervailing duty investigations, domestic producers may request that the U.S. government undertake section 232 investigations.

There are also several lists of section 301 tariffs on products from China that cover hundreds of billions of dollars in imports. Various duties and tariffs may “stack,” resulting in a higher or aggregate tariff level that provides domestic producers with additional protection. Other tariffs, such as “reciprocal” levies under IEEPA, may stack with some tariff types but not others.

The U.S. and China have been engaged in escalating trade tensions since the first Trump Administration. Since then, the U.S. has taken a more assertive approach to managing its trade relationship with China, while facing retaliation both against sectors where the Chinese government has control over strategic supply chain nodes, and American companies operating in the Chinese market. These broader geoeconomic currents are likely to persist, given the great power competition that’s playing out over resources, influence, defense and economic spheres. 

The U.S.–China trade relationship will entail significant risk and tariff volatility for the foreseeable future. Companies seeking to navigate the resulting uncertainty can take a proactive posture to enhance the competitiveness of domestic production, including by using the range of trade relief tools that are available. Supply chain leaders must look at the full spectrum of options — onshoring, nearshoring and friend-shoring — in order to mitigate risk. 

Daniel Pickard is practice group leader, and Natan Tubman is an associate, in the International Trade & National Security practice group at Buchanan Ingersoll & Rooney.

Global Supply Chain Management Regulation & Compliance Sourcing/Procurement/SRM Supply Chain Security & Risk Mgmt Aerospace & Defense Apparel Automotive Chemicals & Energy Consumer Packaged Goods E-Commerce/Omni-Channel Food & Beverage Healthcare High-Tech/Electronics Industrial Manufacturing Pharmaceutical/Biotech Retail

RELATED CONTENT

RELATED VIDEOS

Subscribe to our Daily Newsletter!

Timely, incisive articles delivered directly to your inbox.

Featured Product

Popular Stories

  • A TRUCK WITH ITS CONTAINER DOOR OPEN SITS UNDER A SIGN THAT READS INTERNATIONAL BORDER COMMERCIAL TRUCKS

    Importers Into Mexico Can No Longer Delay Complying With New Customs Declaration Law

    Data Management (Big Data/IoT/Blockchain)
  • 018_how_3pls_can_get_started_with_ai_v1-(540p).png

    Watch: How 3PLs Can Get Started With Automation

    Logistics Outsourcing
  • An employee in a warm suit crouches down to get boxes of food ready for shipping at a warehouse

    Packaging Optimization Is Boosting Cold Chain Growth

    Air Cargo
  • A FIGURE IN CAMOUFLAGE LOOKS THROUGH A SCOPING DEVICE AT A SHIP IN THE DISTANCE, BELCHING SMOKE

    Strait of Hormuz Ship Transits Are Rising Thanks to U.S. Help

    Global Gateways
  • Heat Haze Distorts Video of Semi-Trucks Driving Down an Interstate Surrounded by Mountains on a Sunny Day

    The Biggest Challenges Facing Logistics Operators This Summer

    Logistics

Digital Edition

2026 esg cover main scb q2 2026 cover

SupplyChainBrain 2026 ESG Guide: ESG — The Supply Chain’s Biggest Secret

VIEW THE LATEST ISSUE

Case Studies

  • Recycled Tagging Fasteners: Small Changes Make a Big Impact

  • A GRAPHIC SHOWING MULTIPLE FORMS OF SHIPPING, WITH A HUMAN STANDING AT THE CENTER, TOUCHING A SYMBOLIC MAP OF THE WORLD

    Enhancing High-Value Electronics Shipment Security with Tive's Real-Time Tracking

  • A GRAPHIC OF INTERLACING HONEYCOMBED ELEMENTS REPRESENTING GLOBAL BUSINESS TRANSACTIONS

    Moving Robots Site-to-Site

  • JLL Finds Perfect Warehouse Location, Leading to $15M Grant for Startup

  • Robots Speed Fulfillment to Help Apparel Company Scale for Growth

Visit Our Sponsors

4flow Arkieva Blue Yonder
Carton Cloud CoEnterprise Dassault
Duravant E2Open General Logistics Systems
Hy-Tek iGPS Korber
Lyngsoe Procurability Quinyx
SAP Sikick Systech
S&P Global Mobility TADA TransImpact
US Bank Werner Enterprises WSI
  • More From SCB
    • Featured Content
    • Video Library
    • Think Tank Blog
    • SupplyChainBrain Podcast
    • Whitepapers
    • On-Demand Webinars
    • Upcoming Webinars
  • Digital Offerings
    • Digital Issue
    • Subscribe
    • Manage Email Preferences
    • Newsletters
  • Resources
    • Events Calendar
    • 2026 Event Coverage
    • SCB's Great Supply Chain Partners
    • Supplier Directory
    • Case Study Showcase
    • Supply Chain Innovation Awards
    • 100 Great Partners Form
  • SCB Corporate
    • Advertise on SCB.COM
    • About Us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Contact Us
    • Data Sharing Opt-Out

All content copyright ©2026 Keller International Publishing Corp All rights reserved. No reproduction, transmission or display is permitted without the written permissions of Keller International Publishing Corp

Design, CMS, Hosting & Web Development :: ePublishing